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Numbers Coach Identifies Opportunities for Improved Cash Flow for Environmental Engineers

April 21, 2026 by greenmellen

THE COMPANY

In 1996, Scott Pate launched Sierra Piedmont (“SPI”) with a vision to create a superior environmental consulting, site assessment, compliance, and remediation services firm. Since then, SPI has served a wide range of companies from Fortune 100 businesses to regional firms throughout the United States. SPI’s innovative solutions and advice have helped its clients solve their environmental issues.

SITUATION

Pate and SPI’s management team wanted to realize improved cash flow in their day-to-day operations. However, they were not clear on which financial metrics were truly driving the business and needed more meaningful insights beyond the Profit & Loss statement.

SOLUTION: The Numbers Navigator™

SPI hired the Numbers Coach to provide a comprehensive analysis of its financial operations.The Numbers Coach (“NC”) uses its proprietary Numbers Navigator™ tool set to determine the key financial drivers in SPI’s business model. NC gained a further understanding of SPI’s key business issues through a discovery session with management. NC provided Pate and his team with a comprehensive financial report that identified opportunities to drive more cash flow from the business.

RESULTS

Together, NC and SPI determined realistic and actionable strategies to realize improved cash flow quickly. To achieve this goal, NC provided:

  • A 20+ page financial report detailing key drivers in SPI’s business model,
  • A systematic cash flow forecasting model to provide SPI visibility into its future cash flow,
  • “What if” scenarios analyzed to understand the impact of different financial strategies,
  • Establish guiding principles for disciplined cash flow management process
  • A short-term planning tool to ensure resources and cash were allocated appropriately

“Although it sounds cliché, Numbers Coach and the Numbers Navigator™ truly changed our financial life!” explains Pate.  “The fact is, for many years we had little or no ability to perform high level “what-ifs” or projections of cash effects based on pulling different levers in the company.”

“I don’t know of another program quite like this one,” says Pate. “It doesn’t seem boilerplate or ‘canned.’  I think the most benefit is received by using the Navigator in conjunction with Numbers Coaching services to understand how to apply what is revealed by the report to our financial metrics.”

To learn more about Sierra Piedmont, visit www.sierrapiedmont.com

To learn more about the Numbers Coach financial leadership services, click here

Filed Under: Case Study, Cash Flow Forecasting, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Modeling, Financial Tools, Numbers Coaching Tagged With: cash conversion cycle, cash flow forecast, cash forecasting, cash planning, financial analysis, financial education, financial leadership, financial management

Head off Financial Stress with a 90-Day Cash Flow Forecast

March 4, 2026 by greenmellen

Short-term cash flow challenges are very common among small businesses. When a business responds poorly to a cash flow challenge, its ability to continue operations may be jeopardized. Unfortunately, a poor reaction to a cash flow challenge is what often happens.

A common approach is for a business with tight cash flow to monitor its cash balance daily and estimate accounts receivable for the next several weeks. The problem with that approach is that it doesn’t help you as the owner prepare for a cash crunch due to hit four to twelve weeks in the future. That’s why we recommend clients use a 90-day cash flow forecast.

Rolling 90-Day Forecast

The surest way to avoid an unpleasant cash flow surprise is to use a 90-day rolling cash flow forecast. The forecast usually takes the form of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the expected weekly cash receipts and payments. These are presented line by line and tracked weekly.

To create the forecast requires beginning cash balances, estimated cash receipts, estimated payroll and taxes, estimated operating expenses, payments coming due on notes and leases, and lines of credit.

Creating and updating a 90 day cash flow forecast provides numerous benefits:

  • Visibility into your short-term cash needs
  • Financial discipline in measuring your inflows and outflows of your business; i.e., “What gets measured, gets managed.”
  • Insights into your operations and its short-term flow of activities

Estimating Cash Inflows and Outflows

Inflows

Estimating cash receipts for a 13-week period is one of the more difficult components of the model.  Whether your customers pay in a timely manner is typically a function of their own cash flow positions.  Don’t be deterred from making your best estimates, knowing that actual receipts will differ from your estimates. Use recent payment performance of each customer as a guide.

Depending on the number of customers involved, you may want to create a line on the spreadsheet for your largest customers to identify their specific collection pattern independent of the rest of your customers. Alternatively, if your customer base has numerous small customers, you may want to create a separate tab that provides a general pattern of collection from your monthly sales.

Outflows

Payroll and related taxes are generally easier to estimate because for most businesses, the figures may not change much week to week or they change in a predictable manner. Payrolls that include commissions are more difficult to estimate.  One way to estimate commission would be to obtain a historical trend of commission expense as a percent of sales. Then using this percent apply it to the collected sales or billed sales (whichever the commission is based on) subject to commission and put the amount in the period you expect to pay it.

Cash outflows for accounts payable and operating expenses can be easier to forecast.  We recommend laying out the general timing of when you typically pay an expense. For example, office rent is typically due on the 1st of each month.  In this case, you may show the payment as an outflow in the last week of the prior month to ensure the check arrives on the due date.  If you see headwinds ahead in your cash flow, keep your vendors apprised of your ability to pay and reward their patience as best you can.

Stay in Control of Cash Flow

Business conditions change quickly today.  Keeping a tight rein on cash flow is a small business survival skill and the life blood of a company. The 90-day rolling forecast is a good tool that can help you stay in control of your cash flows. For a forecast to be accurate and relevant, it should be monitored on a regular basis and updated with forecast compared to actual. See where the differences occur and adjust your forecasting for any trends that you see. When the forecast is used this way, it becomes a tool for active management of a business’s cash position.

If you need help putting together your forecast, contact us or check out our Cash Flow Tool Kit

Filed Under: Blog, Business Planning, Cash Flow Forecasting, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Modeling, Rolling Cash Flow Forecast Tagged With: cash flow, cash flow forecast, cash forecasting, cash planning, financial management

Do You Know What This Financial Warning Sign Could Mean For Your Business?

September 20, 2025 by greenmellen

Owners are often so immersed in the day-to-day details of their businesses that they can’t always see financial warning signs of tough times ahead. If you can’t see the warning signs, you can’t avoid the danger.

At the Numbers Coach, we teach business owners how to spot the warning signs. We closely monitor revenues, receivables and cash flows. These three figures are closely related. Businesses often struggle because of poor cash flow, which usually indicates declining revenues and/or slow collection of business receivables.

12/12 Rate of Change

One of my favorite tools to spot early financial warning signs of potential trouble is a chart called the 12/12 rate of change. During difficult economic conditions, I watch this rate of change closely. If I start to see it slip from 20 percent to 19 or 18 percent, we need to investigate why. If a business continues down that path for too long, the impact will be quite negative.

Let’s take revenues as a simple example. Each month, we calculate total revenues for the past 12 months and we compare it against the same figure for the prior year. Then, we calculate the rate of change from last year to this year. If last year’s 12-month revenue figure is $1 million and this year’s 12-month revenue figure is $1.2 million, we have a 20 percent rate of change. Perhaps you can’t change the revenue figure during tough times, because customers postpone the purchase of your product or service. In that event, it may be possible to lower your expenses and avoid losing money.

The 12/12 rate of change provides a long-term view of your business. It is very useful for spotting changes in a business trend, positive or negative, that have occurred during the past year.

12/12 Rate of Change for Fixed Overhead

To take the analysis a step further, I like to review the 12/12 rate of change for the fixed overhead of a business. It tends to be a leading indicator of future bottom-line results when combined with the 12/12 rate of change for revenues.

Fixed costs are those incurred whether you generate any revenue or not. They include rent and, for many service businesses, staff salaries and benefits.

Let’s imagine a business has a 12/12 rate of change for revenues that shows 5 percent growth. If the 12/12 rate of change for fixed overhead shows 10 percent growth, the business has a problem to address. The business is adding to its fixed overhead at a rate that exceeds top-line revenue growth. That’s a financial warning sign. Because of the long-term nature of the 12/12 rate of change, there is no need for immediate panic. However, if the situation is not remedied, it will pose a threat to the future health of the business.

To investigate further, I look at the trailing 12 months of revenues and fixed overhead expenses – not the rate of change, just gross dollar amounts. Is the revenue increasing or decreasing? We plot points on a graph to develop a clear trend line. We do the same for fixed overhead expenses. If, earlier in the year, you noticed an unhealthy rate of change trend and took corrective action, you can check your progress by reviewing the trailing 12. Using both metrics gives you a better read of the situation you face today.

What type of corrective action can you take? There are several possibilities, including increasing your sales, speeding up your collection cycle, or cutting expenses.  If you are not sure which path is best for your business, contact us for a free consultation.

Filed Under: Cash Flow Planning, Financial Metrics, Key Performance Indicators, Numbers Coach TIPS, Own Your Numbers Tagged With: business financial planning, financial analysis, financial education, financial leadership, financial management, financial metrics, key performance indicators

Option 1 Partners Builds Financial Road Map With Help From the Numbers Coach

June 17, 2025 by Mike Iverson

The Company

Option 1 Partners (“O1P”) is a consulting advisory firm started and nurtured by Jackie Flake and Ren Waldron.  O1P provides a full range of consulting services, including recruiting and talent acquisition, Agile transformation services, product strategy, product management, staff augmentation, and coaching. The company specializes in assessing your needs, matching it with teams to meet your vision, and help you build products and analysis for their client’s to successfully scale.  O1P has been providing its high-quality services for over 10 years. 

Situation

In 2025 the O1P team wanted to enhance their understanding of their financial results.  They wanted to use a platform to communicate the company’s key performance indicators (“KPIs”) and educate the leadership team members on what drives the company’s financial results.  The O1P team was missing a financial “road map” that could guide them to make better financial decisions for the company.

Solution: The Numbers Coach Leadership and Numbers NavigatorTM Services

The Numbers Coach (“NC”) financial leadership services were an ideal fit for O1P.  Using NC’s proprietary Numbers NavigatorTM platform, a financial scorecard is created to focus on measurements that drive company’s profits and cash flow critical to sustaining a business.  The scorecard offers the O1P team “at a glance” view of results.  In addition, the Number Navigator’sTM rolling financial forecast gives the O1P team a tool to make critical decisions and see their financial road ahead. 

Mike’s approach to coaching us on how to understand our financial results gives our team the tools to help us navigate our finances successfully and stay focused on our cash flow and investment goals.

~Jackie Flake & Ren Waldron, Co-Founders of Option 1 Partners

Results

NC pulled together financial and non-financial data to complete a scorecard, financial model, and supplemental reporting.  Each quarter the O1P team meets with the Numbers Coach to methodically review results and provide input and analysis from the Numbers NavigatorTM.  After each Numbers Coach meeting, the O1P team can act on activities that improve the company’s bottom line.  Jackie, Ren, and their team can access the Numbers NavigatorTM at any time with its cloud-based delivery platform.

For more information on Option 1 Partners visit www.option1partners.com

To learn more about the Numbers Coach financial leadership services, click here

Filed Under: Case Study, Financial Modeling, Financial Tools, Key Performance Indicators, Leadership, Numbers Coaching Tagged With: business financial planning, financial management, financial metrics

The Numbers Coach Stitches Together Financial Plan for Fabric Company

April 17, 2025 by greenmellen

big duck canvas logo

The Company
Big Duck Canvas (“BDC”), founded by Shawn Mitchell, provides high quality fabrics, canvas and threads to both wholesale and retail stores. Their services include customer cut-and-sew fabrics and fabric printing, which adds a customer’s design features to a fabric. BDC distributes its products throughout North America and can be found online at www.bigduckcanvas.com

The Situation
The BDC team wanted to enhance their financial management and reporting. They were looking to create a platform to communicate the company’s key performance indicators (“KPIs”) that drive its financial results and gain a better understanding of their numbers. The BDC team wanted a financial “road map” that could guide them as they made financial decisions regarding strategies for growth.

The Solution: Numbers Coaching
Numbers Coach (“NC”) coaching services was an ideal fit for BDC’s needs. NC developed a financial scorecard focusing on financial drivers that gave the team visibility into the profits and cash flow critical to sustained profitable growth. The scorecard offers an “at a glance” view of results. NC also developed a financial model using its Numbers NavigatorR proprietary software, providing the financial road map for the BDC team to see where they were headed with profits and cash flow. The Numbers NavigatorR provides a rolling forecast, allowing the BDC team to make financial and operational decisions towards the achievement of their goals.

The Results
NC pulled together financial and non-financial data to complete a customized scorecard and a financial model. NC met with the BDC team regularly to review results and provide numbers coaching around the financial results. From the monthly meetings, the BDC team could take actions on activities to improve the company’s bottom line results and implement best practices.

Learn more about our Numbers Coach financial leadership services here

Filed Under: Business Planning, Case Study, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Modeling, Key Performance Indicators, Rolling Financial Forecast Tagged With: business financial planning, financial dashboard, financial education, financial leadership, financial management, financial metrics, financial reporting

Is Your Customer Creditworthy? 7 Key Metrics to Find Out

March 17, 2025 by Mike Iverson

When taking on a new client, your business is also taking on risk. What if your client doesn’t pay their bills? To minimize risk and ensure timely payments, it’s important to evaluate the creditworthiness of any business customer.

At the Numbers Coach, we recommend using these 7 key metrics to evaluate your customer and assess your business’s potential risk:

  1. Credit Score and History: A strong credit score and positive credit history indicate a reliable payment track record. Review their business credit report for any defaults, late payments, or bankruptcies. For a business, this is typically found through Dun & Bradstreet ratings or other business rating agencies such as Moody’s.
  2. Liquidity Ratios: Metrics like the current ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) and quick ratio ((Current Assets−Inventory) / Current Liabilities) assess the customer’s ability to meet short-term obligations. Ratios above “1” generally indicate good liquidity.
  3. Debt-to-Equity Ratio (D/E): This ratio measures the level of financial leverage, calculated as Total Liabilities / Shareholders’ Equity. Lower ratios suggest the customer isn’t overly reliant on debt, reducing credit risk.
  4. Payment History: Review their payment behavior with other suppliers. Consistent on-time payments signal financial reliability.
  5. Financial Statements: If possible, get a set of financial statements for the past three years: ideally, a Balance Sheet, Income Statement, and Cash Flow Statement. Analyzing these statements will help you evaluate their ability to pay.
  6. References and Trade Insights: Obtain references from other vendors and industry insights to gauge the customer’s reputation and stability.
  7. Z-Score: If you can get financial information from your customer, then running it through a Z-Score calculation can be a helpful measure to ensure they are financially viable.

Using these metrics, you can make informed decisions and reduce your company’s exposure to bad debt.

Questions on any of these calculations? Feel free to ask the Numbers Coach.

Filed Under: Financial Metrics, Financial Tools, Numbers Coach TIPS, Own Your Numbers Tagged With: cash flow statement, credit risk, creditworthiness, financial management, financial metrics

The ABC’s of Financial Know-How

July 11, 2024 by Mike Iverson

As a business leader, you are barraged with endless acronyms for measuring the financial performance of your business, including NAV (net assets value), EPS (earnings per share), KPI (key performance indicator), ROI (return on investment), just to name a few. It can be overwhelming to know which acronyms are meaningful metrics for your business.

The Numbers Coach recommends starting with two simple acronyms: ROA (return on assets) and ROE (return on equity). These metrics are simple yet effective indicators of the overall financial health of a business.

Return on Assets

ROA is a financial ratio that measures the profitability of a business in relation to its total assets. It is calculated by taking your company’s annual net income and dividing by its total assets including facilities, machinery, equipment, vehicles, inventory, etc. To put it simply, ROA shows how effective your company is at using assets to generate profit.

Here’s an example: if your company’s net profit is $248 and the total assets in your business are $5193, divide 248 by 5,193 and you have a 4.8% return on assets.

What is a good ROA? It’s usually the highest, but it depends on the industry. It is important to judge your business’s ROA against the competition. What is a great ROA in one industry may not be in another. Banks, for instance, bring in as much deposited money as possible and use it to offer loans at a higher return. They are known to have low ROAs versus a software company having a higher ROA. An ROA that is much higher than the industry norm may suggest the company isn’t renewing its assets for the future.

Return on Equity

ROE, or return on equity, is a similar calculation used to measure financial performance. To calculate ROE, net income is divided by average shareholders’ equity. ROE uses equity, the net worth of a company, not just what it owns. It tells businesses what percentage of profit they make for every dollar of equity invested in their company. In other words, ROEs show the return on a corporation’s profitability and how efficient it is at generating profits for the owners. Here, as with gross margins and net margins, the higher the numbers, the better.

ROAs and ROEs are important tools used to indicate the financial success of a company over a specific time. If these financials are in order, they can be a relatively simple way to quickly demonstrate your company’s performance.

Need some guidance for calculating and applying these metrics in your business? Contact the Numbers Coach for a free consultation.

Filed Under: Blog, Financial Metrics, Financial Tools, Own Your Numbers Tagged With: financial management, financial metrics, profitability, return on assets, return on equity

Numbers Coach Helps Education Company Communicate Game Plan to Team Leaders

April 18, 2024 by greenmellen

About The Company

Green Building Education Services (“GBES”) is a leading educational services firm that provides the number 1 LEED exam prep solution since 2007.  GBES has served over 150,000 customers with comprehensive solutions to help people advance their careers with the sustainability credentials.  Not only does GBES help its customers pass the LEED exam to get their credentials, but it also continues to support them with continuing education credits to keep their credentials active and relevant.  GBES also provides Well AP certification exam prep and continuing education.  (To learn more, visit the GBES Website at www.gbes.com)

The Situation

In 2020 the GBES team wanted to enhance understanding across the organization for their financial results.  They wanted to find a platform that could communicate the company’s key performance indicators (“KPI”) and help educate its team leaders on what drives the company’s financial results.  In addition, the GBES team wanted a road map that could guide them as they made financial decisions impacting their growth strategies.

The Solution: Numbers Coach Leadership and Numbers Navigator Services

The Numbers Coach’s financial leadership services were an ideal fit for GBES.  Numbers Coach Mike Iverson developed a financial scorecard to focus on the financial measurements that drive company profits and cash flow critical to sustained profitable growth.  The scorecard offers the GBES team an “at a glance” view of results. The Numbers Coach developed a financial model from its proprietary software, the Numbers NavigatorR .  The software provides a road map for the GBES team to see where they are positioned with profits and cash flow.  In addition, the software’s rolling financial forecast gives the GBES team a tool to make critical decisions and see where they are headed financially.

 Results

The Numbers Coach pulled together financial and non-financial data to complete a scorecard and financial model.  Each month, the Numbers Coach meets with the GBES team to methodically review results and provide the input and analysis from the Numbers NavigatorR software.  From the monthly financial coaching meetings, the GBES team has been able take actions on activities that improve the company’s bottom line results and get the team to all row in the same direction.

For more information on Green Building Education Services visit www.gbes.com

To learn more about the Numbers Coach services, click here

“Mike has become an important part of our team.  His approach to educating us on our financial results gives our team the right tools to help us understand how to navigate our finances successfully and stay focused on our financial goals.”  

Dean D’Angelo, President

Filed Under: Business Growth, Case Study, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Metrics, Financial Modeling, Key Performance Indicators, Own Your Numbers Tagged With: business financial planning, coaching executives, financial coaching, financial leadership, financial management, leadership coaching, numbers coaching

Balance Sheet: The Second Half of Your Financial Story

November 14, 2023 by greenmellen

by Anne Moore Odell

A balance sheet shows you at a glance the financial health of a company at a specific moment. It illustrates a company’s assets, liabilities, and owners’ equity. Balance sheets help identify how well a company can meet its obligations and if it has room to grow.

Assets can be anything the business owns that has value to the business including cash, money markets, equipment, and accounts receivable. A liability, on the other hand, is a company’s accounts payables and other creditors’ claims.

A company’s balance sheet should be updated at least monthly. Key metrics on the balance sheet such as cash balances, receivables and payables should be monitored on a weekly or even daily basis. Together with income statements, balance sheets are the financial reports that banks, other lenders and investors need in order to know your credit worthiness.

“Business owners look at their balance sheet and their bank accounts and try to connect the dots,” says Mike Iverson, Numbers Coach. “But if you are preparing your income statement on a cash basis what you have in your bank accounts isn’t necessarily the profit you have coming from the income statement.”

Resources and Responsibilities

Assets on the balance sheet are generally listed in order of how easily they can be turned into cash, their “liquidity.” Cash-on-hand is therefore the most liquid of assets. Current assets are assets which could become cash in a year—for example, accounts receivable or inventory. Real estate and other investments, which would take longer to change into cash, are long-term assets and not easily liquidized.

Iverson explains, “A business generally has two key assets central to generating cash flow–accounts receivable and inventory. If you are a services business then accounts receivable is your main short-term cash flow asset. When you offer credit to customers, you have to remember you are really giving your customers an interest free short-term loan. It is the balancing act of making sure your customers pay you on time so you can pay your own bills on time. The longer your customer takes to pay you the more likely you will have difficulty in paying your own bills.”

If your company has inventory, it is another key asset that needs to be carefully managed. “When businesses have inventory, it has generally been paid for and stored in a warehouse,” says Iverson. “The longer inventory sits in the warehouse, the more cash is tied up in this asset and not getting converted into sales and ultimately cash flow. You want to manage your inventory to the lowest level possible and still meet your sales needs.”

On the other side of the balance sheet are liabilities and owner’s equity. These include short-term or current liabilities accounts payable and notes payable which have to be paid in a year or less. Long-term liabilities are ones that will last longer than one year, for example, mortgage notes payable.

Owners’ equity, also called stockholders equity, is the money provided by the business owner and/or investors, plus retained earnings that have been put back in the business. Owner’s equity is a key number your banker looks at to see how much “skin in the game” the business owner has when evaluating credit worthiness.

Working Capital and Balance Sheet Pitfalls

Working capital is one measure used to know a company’s short-term health, and is calculated from information on the balance sheet. Working capital, also known as the “working capital ratio,” is the amount of cash that a company could generate in a short amount of time if necessary. A simple definition of working capital equals current assets minus current liabilities.

“It’s important to understand the quality of your working capital,” says Phil Poovey, a partner with Bridges & Dunn-Rankin, LLP, headquartered in Atlanta, GA. “If you have a lot of old accounts receivable that you aren’t likely to collect, you are fooling yourself to include them as current assets. Likewise, if you have excess inventory levels, you aren’t going to convert them to cash in a reasonable amount of time.”

Positive working capital is when assets outweigh liabilities. When liabilities outweigh assets, a business might have trouble paying its creditors and if cash can’t be found, bankruptcy declared. Comparing the working capital of a business from period to period helps business owners and investors see how effectively it can support sales growth, how efficient collections are and how quickly inventory is turning over.

Checks and Balances

As the economy struggles to right itself, smart businesses are examining their balance sheets with a magnifying glass to make sure they meet their obligations. “Many businesses are naturally adapted,” Poovey says. “Companies are being a lot more careful about whom they extend credit to. They are staying a lot closer to the clients they extend credit to.”

Poovey says that effective accounts receivable departments are not calling a month after a bill is due, but rather calling a week before the bill is due. Because as Poovey says, “a lot of times, the people who are more persistent are the people who get paid first.” It’s been said “the squeaky wheel gets the grease” so don’t be afraid to ask for your money.

It is important to realize that there are two sides to the story about cash and how much you get to keep in your bank account. Your income statement profit tells you how well you are managing your cash flow from operations and your balance sheet tells you how well you are managing your working capital needs—how quickly you are getting paid from your customers, how long you hold inventory, and how quickly you pay your vendors. All of these factors balance each other to let you know whether you have the money to continue growing your business.

Filed Under: Business Planning, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Modeling, Numbers Coach TIPS, Own Your Numbers, Working Capital Tagged With: assets, balance sheet, cash planning, financial management, financial metrics

Predicting The Next Recession

September 12, 2023 by Mike Iverson

I have read many articles where experts try to predict a recession based on their leading indicators. Some use the stock market, others use consumer confidence index, and the list goes on. I recently read an interesting article that plotted a measurement that seemed to predict every recession since 1976. While this may not be true for future recessions, a business owner should stay aware of a few indicators to be prepared. For recessions are opportunities for strong businesses to come out ahead of their competition.

What is the indicator?

It’s known as the “yield curve.” The yield curve is the interest rate of U.S. Treasuries at different maturity dates (6-month, 1 year, 3 years, etc.) that the U.S. government issues to finance some of its day-to-day operations.

During typical economic times, the short-term Treasury bond interest rate (“yield”) will be lower than the long-term Treasury bond yield. The reason is that the person investing in the long-term Treasury bond should get a larger yield (interest rate) for taking on the risk over a longer period, where inflation and other factors could impact the return on this investment.

How do you “Read the curve?”

When the yield curves align, referred to as “flat”, then their return is the same. For instance, a short-term and long-term Treasury bond both have a 5% interest rate yield.

It’s when the yield curve “inverts” which means the shorter-term Treasury bonds have a higher yield (i.e., interest rate) then the longer-term Treasury bonds, this becomes the red flag that a recession is coming. It’s the proverbial “canary in the coal mine” warning that the economy is about to turn down.

Ever since the Federal Reserve began publishing this information about short-term and long-term Treasury bond yields (that is, the ten-year two-year spread), it has accurately predicted a recession in the United States. It seems that none of the recessions in the last 70 years have occurred until the yield curve has inverted. Keep your eye on the ten-year, two-year interest rate yields; it might help you plan for the next downturn.

Looking to recession-proof your business? Check out our easy-to-use Financial Planning Tool Kit

Filed Under: Business Planning, Financial Planning, Numbers Coach TIPS Tagged With: business financial planning, business planning, financial management

Want To Stand On Solid Financial Ground?…Follow These 9 Key Strategies

April 28, 2023 by Mike Iverson

Don’t shoot yourself in the financial foot.  Stay clear of common financial mistakes by following these 9 financial concepts.

  • Cash is “king” so keep a handle on your cash by reviewing your cash flow statements, your weekly cash receipts, and weekly or daily cash balance.
  • Understand what would be the right mix of debt vs. equity in your business.  Each business has its own “speed limit” and growing too fast can cause you to pile on debt and thereby, risk to the business.
  • Have a written plan even if it’s a short one page which I prefer.  The lack of a plan is the plan to failure.
  • Know how to read your financial statements, and not just you profit and loss statement but also your balance sheet and cash flow statement.  Otherwise it will be hard for you to make good decisions for the business.
  • Know your costs.  This is especially true to understand at what point of your growth will you need to add more fixed cost to the business in order to go the next level.
  • Keep up good relationships with your bank and vendors.  These are your key stakeholders who can make the difference between success and failure.
  • Missing the “forest” because you are only looking at the “trees”.  You are missing the bigger picture of your business and industry.  Understand the trends and be able to step back from the business to see if you are driving in the right direction.
  • The absence of timely data from operations and finance.  If you are waiting 30 days or more to review this data, its most likely too late for good corrective action and rather you will be more in a reactive mode.
  • Lack of understanding the cause of the results.  Get to know the drivers of your business including your financial drivers.  These metrics will provide insight into the direction you are heading.

Follow these 9 key strategies and you will get the financial results that you want. Here’s to achieving your financial goals!

Mike

Filed Under: Business Growth, Cash Flow Forecasting, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Metrics, Financial Modeling, Key Performance Indicators, Numbers Coach TIPS, Working Capital Tagged With: business financial planning, financial accounting, financial education, financial management, financial metrics, KPI

3 Tips For Better Business Planning

April 28, 2023 by Mike Iverson

Planning is a critical part of making sure your business is focused and on track.  Here are six important elements for long term planning.

  • Define the outcome.  Each planning session should have a desired outcome in mind that you define at the beginning of it and then circle back at the end and ask yourself the question if you actually addressed it.
  • SMART goals need to be the prepared and documented.  Your management team should come up with what they feel from their perspective the goal or goals should be so that you can see where the common ground is and where your team is thinking the business should go.
  • Have a specific written agenda prepared ahead of any planning session and stick to it.  Don’t let meetings drag on without keeping people on time which means on track.

Follow these 3 guidelines for your next business planning session and create a better road map to your success!

Mike

Filed Under: Business Growth, Cash Flow Forecasting, Cash Flow Planning, Financial Modeling, Key Performance Indicators, Numbers Coach TIPS, Rolling Cash Flow Forecast, Rolling Financial Forecast Tagged With: business financial planning, financial education, financial habits, financial leadership, financial management

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